I saw the Naomi Wolf video that has been floating around. She thinks that the $700 billion bailout was essentially a coup that gives the President his own Treasury, and that
moving a brigade to the US for the first time for the purposes of "crowd control" is meant to put teeth into the threat of martial law. She has been talking about the US being on the road to fascism for a while. All of the things she says are certainly alarming; you can find the video of her, and the one of Rep. Sherman where he mentions that members of Congress were threatened with martial law if they didn't pass the bill, on YouTube. I can see why she thinks what she does, however...
I think it's not as bad as all that quite yet. I think that the bailout was something of an attempted coup, in that the original version gave broad unprecedented powers to the Secretary of the Treasury with no oversight. The new version isn't all that much better, frankly, and I wish they hadn't passed it, but at least it's not quite as egregious. I also think that if things had turned out a little differently, she might be right and the next move would be to declare a national emergency and "delay" the election, etc. I do not think that will happen. Not because I don't think their ultimate goal isn't a fascist United States, but because at this point it's a risky strategy.
People hate Bush a lot right now. And they are stirred up. There was an overwhelming and unprecedented response to the bailout bill, people are jumpy and keeping a close eye on what is happening. A declaration of martial law would produce a huge backlash...one that could not be controlled. There is simply not enough centralized force to deal with that, especially when the local police and other government forces "on the ground" could not be relied upon to be on their side. Furthermore, there's a lot of political will backing Obama up, lots of people engaged and invested. That also means resistance beyond their ability to control or quell.
Besides, and this is the most telling, why would they take a risky strategy which might fail, when they can simply take other strategies which might take a little longer but will lead to success?
Scenario 1: They manage to confuse or bamboozle enough people, or hack enough Diebold machines, so that McCain wins. They tighten their grip. They get President Palin, sooner or later....either because McCain dies, or because they run her after his term. If they work it right, they could keep her in office for a decade....a decade in which they will have continued the dismantling of our freedoms and government, and in which a new generation will reach adulthood who don't remember a time in which things weren't as they are now.
Scenario 2: Obama wins, but since they just drained vast amounts of money out of the Treasury to dubious ends, and already had a lot of money and power, a huge political machine and influence over the media, it won't be that hard for them to block or scuttle or weaken practically anything he tries to do. Plus the new President will inherit a huge mess. All they have to do is fuck everything up as much as possible, and then after four years people will vote for whomever they put forward. They can then continue their previous methods of whittling away at the Constitution bit by bit, with the added bonus that their opposition will be in disarray and won't put up much of a fight.
I actually think that Scenario 2 is better for them, if their long-term goal is a fascist dictatorship. They have to discredit their opposition a lot more than they have been able to thus far. In any case (to quote Bujold) an effective strategy is one in which every outcome leads to success.
So what do we do? When the election is over, it isn't over. We can't go back to sleep. If McCain wins, the same factors that would work against a President Obama will work against him, and could provide an opportunity to regain ground. If Obama wins, as seems likely, it's just the beginning. It will be a window of opportunity, and serious changes need to happen while that window is open.