Pri ([info]blackbird_fly) wrote in [info]americanidol,
@ 2008-03-10 13:15:00
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Current mood: nerdy

Community Hopes & Predictions: A Table!

[info]lifeofbai has been polling the community after each show, and each week, he asks the community who he thinks should and will be voted off. Hopefully, he doesn't mind, but I've compiled the results of these polls to see how good the [info]americanidol community is at predicting the outcome of this show. Yes, I'm a nerd. You don't need to tell me that. :)

EPISODE Boys Girls
Top 24 Hopes Chikezie Eze (26.4%) * Amy Davis (33%)
Garrett Haley/Danny Noriega (16.3%) * Kristy Lee Cook (25.2%)
Top 24 Predictions Garrett Haley (50.9%) Amy Davis (73%)
Luke Menard (46.3%) Joanne Borgella (46.8%)
Actual Elimination Garrett Haley Amy Davis
Colton Berry (7.4% - 6th Place) Joanne Borgella
Correct Predictions 75%
Top 20 Hopes Jason Yeager (67.8%) Kady Malloy (50.5%)
Luke Menard (63.2%) Amanda Overmyer (44.7%)
Top 20 Predictions Jason Yeager (72.8%) Kady Malloy (55.7%)
Luke Menard (66%) Alexandrea Lushington (46.4%)
Actual Elimination Jason Yeager Alexandrea Lushington
Robbie Carrico (20.8% - 3rd Place) Alaina Whitaker (18.6% - 5th Place)
Correct Predictions 50%
Top 16 Hopes Luke Menard (91.7%) Kady Malloy (71.2%)
Chikezie Eze (52.8%) Kristy Lee Cook (61.6%)
Top 16 Predictions Luke Menard (96.7%) Kady Malloy (88.2%)
Chikezie Eze (73.8%) Kristy Lee Cook (53.8%)
Actual
Elimination
Luke Menard Kady Malloy
Danny Noriega (12.3%) Asia'h Epperson (23.5%)
Correct Predictions 50%
Top 12 Hopes Kristy Lee Cook (80.2%)
Top 12 Predictions Kristy Lee Cook (72.9%)
Actual Elimination David Hernandez (7%)
Top 11 Hopes Kristy Lee Cook (74.9%)
Top 11 Predictions Kristy Lee Cook (76.2%)
Actual Elimination Amanda Overmyer (3.1% - 3rd Place)
Top 10 Hopes Kristy Lee Cook (61%)
Top 10 Predictions Ramiele Malubay (37%)
Actual Elimination Chikezie Eze (26.3% - 3rd Place)
Top 9 Hopes Kristy Lee Cook (55.3%)
Top 9 Predictions Ramiele Malubay (66.3%)
Actual Elimination Ramiele Malubay
Top 8 Hopes Kristy Lee Cook (58.5%)
Top 8 Predictions Syesha Mercado (53.2%)
Actual Elimination Michael Johns (1.6% - 6th Place)
Top 7 Hopes Kristy Lee Cook (61.9%)
Top 7 Predictions Syesha Mercado (37.6%)
Actual Elimination Kristy Lee Cook (16.9% - 4th Place)
Top 6 Hopes Brooke White (61.4%)
Top 6 Predictions Brooke White (59.4%)
Actual Elimination Carly Smithson (3.9% - 4th Place)
Top 5 Hopes Brooke White (51.4%)
Top 5 Predictions Brooke White (35.6%)
Actual Elimination Brooke White
Top 4 Hopes Jason Castro (73.8%)
Top 4 Predictions Jason Castro (76.6%)
Actual Elimination Jason Castro
Top 3 Hopes David Archuleta (47.2%)
Top 3 Predictions Syesha Mercado (95.3%)
Actual Elimination Syesha Mercado
Top 2 Hopes [WINNER] David Cook (73.2%)
Top 2 Predictions David Archuleta (63.3%)
Actual Elimination Top 2 TBD
SEASON TOTAL 11/22


* There was no question about who should leave, so I took these answers from the "Who is your least favorite male contestant?" question.

I'll add to this post as the season progresses because I care that much. ;p


(Post a new comment)


[info]djl4c
2008-03-10 07:00 pm UTC (link)
You are awesome :)

Might I suggest bolding or italicizing the correct picks? So we can see which contestants comprised those percentages, for those of us that don't remember :)

(Reply to this)(Thread)


[info]blackbird_fly
2008-03-10 07:59 pm UTC (link)
Good idea! I shaded them. I think for the next update, I'm going to re-do the table to make it vertical instead of horizontal, and incorporate percentages for the people who were voted off but not predicted to be. Does that make sense? God, I'm so lame.

(Reply to this)(Parent)(Thread)


[info]djl4c
2008-03-10 08:05 pm UTC (link)
Nope, not lame at all! I totally do the same kind of things. You should see the 'stats' sheet about my old Quote of the Day site.

(Reply to this)(Parent)


[info]yunafire
2008-03-10 07:48 pm UTC (link)
Whoah, that is indeed quite amazing! I too know how it is to have too much time on one's hands =D

(Reply to this)


[info]undonebeauty
2008-03-12 05:31 pm UTC (link)
He's been doing the polls for a long time now, it'd be interesting to analyze previous seasons to see how accurate we've been.

(Reply to this)


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