Hurricane Season 2006

2007 Hurricane community

Fri, 17 Aug 2007 03:24:03 GMT

I've started a community for discussion of the 2007 hurricane season, now that it's starting to really kick off. Please join me at 2007_hurricanes before Dean makes Cat 3!

I created this one because someone on LJ claimed the 2007hurricanes name as a personal journal (so don't join that one!). The maintainer of this community,pinktrucker, has already made more for 2008, 2009 and 2010, so be sure and join in again next year!

Tue, 12 Dec 2006 13:50:30 GMT

This is a community I'd like to get up and running by next season. Thought you guys might like it so check it out, join it, and tell everyone in the hurricane zone about it.
Thanks!

sigh

Sat, 23 Sep 2006 16:31:04 GMT

Please let it be over, now. Seems sooooooooooooooooooo calm.

two names stroms in atalntic...possible thrid on the way

Thu, 14 Sep 2006 17:58:16 GMT

"Major Hurricane Gordon (120 mph) is a powerful tropical cyclone in the central Atlantic far to the east-southeast of Bermuda. The hurricane is currently churning north-northeastward, but is expected to increasingly turn northeastward, passing well to the east of Bermuda and offering no threat to the U.S.

Tropical Storm Helene (45 mph) is steaming westward at a good clip 835 miles W of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands. The system is expected to take on a more west-northwesterly track in time, and should eventually reach hurricane intensity. Right now, Helene is forecast to remain in the open waters of the central Atlantic.

A diffuse tropical wave continues to produce showers from the eastern Caribbean to just east of the Lesser Antilles. More thunderstorms flare east of Helene as a new tropical disturbance moves off the African coast..."

maybe the hush hush quiet 2006 atlantic season is going to turn out to be not so hush hush?!
i've read conflicting opinions about it from weather experts. some say that we won't be having such a horrible season afterall. others are saying not to let our gaurd down, that the season is going to kick up and become very active mid-way through. perhaps they were right?

personally i thought that all the hype about this season turned out to be not so worrysome, but now i am begining to think differently. what do you think??

xo/jes

TD6 sept/3/2006

Sun, 03 Sep 2006 23:56:07 GMT

from the weather channel website:

A broad area of low pressure 1525 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is now Tropical Depression Six. Steady strengthening is expected and the tropical depression could soon be Tropical Storm Florence. Its forecast northwest track would keep it well away from the Lesser Antilles, but this developing tropical cyclone will need to be monitored closely.

Even farther out in the Atlantic, a tropical low, in tandem with a cluster of showers and thunderstorms, is moving westward just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.

Closer to the U. S., a tropical wave pushing westward into the central Caribbean Sea, shows no signs of further strengthening.

I never did see...

Wed, 30 Aug 2006 14:06:19 GMT

I never did see a clearly defined eye on Ernesto. Is this usually an indicator of how strong a storm might end up? Or simply its endurance factor?

Mon, 28 Aug 2006 18:31:32 GMT

im nervous.

Sat, 26 Aug 2006 22:21:42 GMT

Tue, 22 Aug 2006 13:03:16 GMT

Is this going to be a hurricane-free year????? Ya think?

TS Beryl targets SE Mass.

Thu, 20 Jul 2006 16:04:33 GMT

Seems like Beryl has its eyes set on my old stopping grounds of SE Mass.

New storm

Tue, 18 Jul 2006 14:52:23 GMT

WTNT32 KNHC 181433
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1100 AM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006

...SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT.

last year.....

Wed, 14 Jun 2006 20:42:17 GMT

TS Arlene peaked out at 60 knots, roughly 69 MPH. Alberto was around 70 MPH. Both generated around the same timeframe. I don't know much about hurricanes in general, but that doesn't seem like "less intense than 2005" to me.

Anyone with more knowledge on patterns?

Alberto gets a warning issued

Mon, 12 Jun 2006 14:57:38 GMT

National Hurricane Center issues hurricane warning for Florida's Gulf Coast from Longboat Key to the Ochlockonee River, The Associated Press reports.

Take a look at Alberto's projected path, and note the predictions for this year's hurricane season. A straight shot up the Atlantic coastline.

90L Spaghetti

Fri, 09 Jun 2006 04:25:25 GMT

Mon, 05 Jun 2006 16:39:25 GMT

I am also nervous about the upcoming hurricane season. The news has told me that it should be the same if not twice as bad as last season. I am from the MS gulf coast and suffered a lot from Hurricane Katrina. The only thing that kept my town going was the church and volunteer groups. FEMA helped very little families if any at all. Hopefully they will be of more help this season.

Sat, 03 Jun 2006 17:32:30 GMT

i'm nervous about this season. last year i was out of power for 2 weeks! i used to never take hurricane season seriously. this year, i'm prepared for the worst. hopefully i can help some of my neighbors this time like they helped me last year..

Interests and Keywords

Sat, 03 Jun 2006 13:34:57 GMT

If there are any cities, towns, areas, or other hurricane-related keywords that you think I should add to the community interests, please leave it in the comments.

Also, any links that you think are vital to hurricane season.

Thanks!

New York No. 2 Most Vulnerable

Thu, 01 Jun 2006 21:12:16 GMT

A large hurricane, on the scale of Katrina, could strike the Northeast, namely New York, this summer.

Predictions

Wed, 31 May 2006 02:14:06 GMT

It is once again hurricane season, and it is time for hurricane hunters, storm enthusiasts and weather nerds to start watching radar, satellite images, The Weather Channel, and their local weather forecaster to see what is predicted to be a very busy 2006 hurricane season.

The following will contain a brief recap of my prediction versus actual hurricane activity for 2005 as well as my prediction for the 2006 season.

Anderson Cooper, hold on to your microphone.... it's gonna be a bumpy ride.

Last year, as a brand new blogger at the onset of the hurricane season, my fifth-ever post included the following:

Predictions are merely that. However, down here in S. Florida, they say that if you have a dry May, then it will be busy hurricane season. It rained like, part of two days this past month. We are down -6.65" of rain for the year in our area. Thus, we are looking at a busy hurricane season.

Well, we all know that the 2005 hurricane season was the busiest season on record since official records began in the 1880's.

Hurricane Facts from 2005:

There were 27 named storms.

There were 14 hurricanes.

There were a total of 7 Major (category 3 or higher) storms occurred in 2005.

*Major7 ~ interesting name, huh?*

The impact of the season was widespread and ruinous with record damages over $100 billion and at least 1,923 deaths.

So, that being said, my prediction for the 2006 season based on research, current water temperatures, atmospheric conditions, discussion with real experts as well as historical data yields the following:

This was my prediction in March, 2006

I predict 21 named storms.
I predict that 12 of these will become hurricanes.*
I predict that once again, 7 of these will become major hurricanes (category 3 or higher)
* due to the fact that South Florida where I live is almost 6.5 inches below normal rainfall for the year, I am upping my prediction of number of hurricanes to 14.

Dr. Gray and his staff out of the University of Colorado released their predictions at the beginning of April and they are calling for:
17 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 major hurricanes (cat. 3 or higher).

Does anyone else have any numbers?

Preparing

Tue, 30 May 2006 22:40:16 GMT

What have YOU done to prepare for hurricane season? What supplies do you have? What supplies do you still need?

Share and discuss.

Hurricane Week on The Weather Channel

Tue, 30 May 2006 21:10:11 GMT

- Cantore, Morrow & Abrams revist the Gulf Coast June 1st -

"It Could Happen Tomorrow - Katrina: The Lost Episode"
Airing Sunday June 4 at 9:00PM ET/PT

"In April 2005, The Weather Channel completed a show predicting that a major hurricane would soon hit New Orleans, scientists and meteorologists had predicted the possibility. In August 2005 Hurricane Katrina hit and the program never aired, until now. Can New Orleans survive another hit? "

" Live Reports, 'Hurricane Week' & 'Lost' Katrina Episode Kick Off Tropical Season on The Weather Channel

ATLANTA--(BUSINESS WIRE)----With Hurricane Katrina and the rest of the record-setting 2005 tropical season still in mind, anticipation is high for the 2006 hurricane season. Stressing the critical message of early preparation, The Weather Channel kicks off its coverage on Thursday, June 1, with live reports from the Gulf Coast. Then, "Hurricane Week" arrives on June 4 -highlighted by the premiere of the "Lost" New Orleans episode of the series 'It Could Happen Tomorrow.'

Stocking Up

Tue, 23 May 2006 20:31:23 GMT

We bought a generator.
A Briggs and Stratton EXL 8000.
http://shop.briggsandstratton.com/BShopProductPage.asp?CatalogID=56B2BA48-283C-11D4-8886-00B0D0203414&MECID=100&SessionID=E6807A05-69CD-4DB7-95B7-0635397BB4B8&CategoryID=&lrid=&ProductID=63C12449-3E84-4686-BCBA-D3F87992FC08
Should be enough for lights, tv, a room air conditioner, Internet and a microwave. The necessities during the aftermath of a storm.
Hollywood, FL

My numbers:
26.02N/80.20W
21/14/7
(named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes)

NOAA: North Atlantic could see 10 hurricanes this season

Mon, 22 May 2006 15:06:33 GMT

The North Atlantic Ocean could see 10 hurricanes form this year and four to six of them become major storms, the National Hurricane Center announced Monday. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration advised coastal residents to "prepare, prepare, prepare" for a very active storm season.

NOAA predicts 13 to 16 named storms, with eight to 10 becoming hurricanes. Four to six could reach Category 3 strength or higher.

'06 Hurricanes May Hit New Target: The Northeast

Mon, 15 May 2006 13:51:18 GMT

In two weeks, the 2006 hurricane season will officially begin — and it may well be different from recent years.

The good news, experts say, is that due to a cyclical pattern, the hard-hit Gulf Coast most likey will escape the devastation it experienced last season. The bad news is that the concentration of hurricane activity is predicted to move up the eastern seaboard this season.

Study: Hurricanes Can Cause Long-Term Mental Problems

Sat, 13 May 2006 19:39:52 GMT

TALLAHASSEE -- A study by Tallahassee researchers shows that a hurricane can cause long-term mental health problems.

Sociologists at Florida State University studied adolescents who went through Hurricane Andrew in 1992 and discovered some were more likely to suffer mental health problems years later.

The study examined nearly 1,000 adolescents impacted by Hurricane Andrew.

The researchers predict even more dire consequences for people who went through Hurricane Katrina.

They said more of those victims will face a higher risk of mental health problems for years to come.

Researches hope the study will prompt emergency response workers to place more emphasis on intervention efforts for hurricane victims.

The study is published in the Journal of Social Forces.
source